I’m interested in writing certain software that uses machine learning, and performs certain actions based on external data.
However I’ve run into problem (that was always interesting to me) –
how is it possible to write machine learning software that issues orders or sequences of orders?
The problem is that as I understand it, neural network gets bunch on inputs, and “recalls” output based on results of previous trainings. Instantly (well, more or less). So I’m not sure how “issuing orders” could fit into that system, especially when actions performed by system affect the system with certain delay. I’m also a bit unsure how is it possible to train this thing.
Examples of such system:
1. First person shooter enemy controller. As I understand it, it is possible to implement neural network controller for the bot that will switch bot behavior strategies(well, assign priorities to them) based on some inputs (probably something like health, ammo, etc). But I don’t see a way to make higher-order controller, that could issue sequence of commands like “go there, then turn left”. Also, bot’s actions will affect variables that control bot’s behavior. I.e. shooting reduces ammo, falling from heights reduces health, etc.
2. Automated market trader. It is certainly possible to make system that will try to predict the next market price of something. However, I don’t see how is it possible to make system that would issue order to buy something, watch the trend, then sell it back to gain profit/cover up losses.
3. Car driver. Again, (as I understand it) it is possible to make system that will maintain desired movement vector based on position/velocity/torque data and results of previous training. However I don’t see a way to make such system (learn to) perform sequence of actions.
I.e. as I understood it, neural net is technically a matrix – you give it input, it produces output. But what about generating sequences of actions that could change environment program operates in?
If such tasks are not entirely suitable for neural networks, what else could be used?
P.S. I understand that the question isn’t exactly clear, and I suspect that I’m missing some knowledge. So I’ll appreciate some pointers (i.e. books/resources to read, etc).
You could try to connect the output neurons to controllers directly, e.g. moving forward, turning, or shooting in the ego shooter, or buying orders for the trader. However, I think that the best results are gained nowadays when you let the neural net solve one rather specific subproblem, and then let a “normal” program interpret its answer. For example, you could let the neural net construct a map overlay of “where do I want to be”, which the bot then translates into movements. The neural network for the trader could produce a “how much do I want which paper”, which the bot then translates into buying or selling orders.
The decision which subproblem should be solved by a neural network is a very central one for its design. The important thing is that good solutions can be taught to the neural network.
Edit: Expanding this in the examples: When the ego shooter bot gets shot, it should not have wanted to be there; when it gets to shoot someone else, it should have wanted to be there more. When the trader loses money from a paper, it should have wanted it less before; if it gains, it should have wanted it more. These things can be taught.