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Editorial Team
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Editorial Team
Asked: May 11, 20262026-05-11T18:41:44+00:00 2026-05-11T18:41:44+00:00

Looking back at my past projects I often encounter this one: A client or

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Looking back at my past projects I often encounter this one:

A client or a manager presents a task to me and asks for an estimate. I give an estimate say 24 hours. They also ask a business analyst and from what I’ve heard their experience is mostly non-technical. They give an estimate say 16 hours. In the end, they would consider the value given by the analyst even though aside from providing an estimate on my side, I’ve explained to them the feasibility of the task on the technical side. They treat the analysts estimate as a “fact of life” even though it is only an estimate and the true value is in the actual task itself. Worse, I see a pattern that they tend to be biased in choosing the lower value (say I presented a lower value estimate than the analyst, they quickly consider it) compared to the feasibility of the task. If you have read Peopleware, they are the types of people who given a set of work hours will do anything and everything in their power to shorten in even though that is not really possible.

Do you have specific negotiation skills and tactics that you used before to avoid this?

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  1. Editorial Team
    Editorial Team
    2026-05-11T18:41:44+00:00Added an answer on May 11, 2026 at 6:41 pm

    If I can help it, I would almost never give a number like “24 hours”. Doing so makes several implicit assumptions:

    1. The estimate is accurate to within an hour.
    2. All of the figures in the number are significant figures.
    3. The estimate is not sensitive to conditions that may arise between the time you give the estimate and the time the work is complete.

    In most cases these are demonstrably wrong. To avoid falling into the trap posed by (1), quote ranges to reflect how uncertain you are about the accuracy of the estimate: “3 weeks, plus or minus 3 days”. This also takes care of (2).

    To close the loophole of (3), state your assumptions explicitly: “3 weeks, plus or minutes 3 days, assuming Alice and Bob finish the Frozzbozz component”.

    IMO, being explicit about your assumptions this way will show a greater depth of thought than the analyst’s POV. I’d much rather pay attention to someone who’s thought about this more intensely than someone who just pulled a number out of the air, and that will certainly count for plus points on your side of the negotiation.

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